In a couple hours, we will be opening our E-Mini Success Formula to the public. I am well aware that only 1 out of 50 traders who receive this message will take action.
Most traders whine about the volatility in the market and secretly cower in the corner, stricken with fear at the possibility of getting caught on the wrong side of the trade.
Most traders publicly declare that they want more money, that they want more consistency in their trading, and that they want to spend more time with their family, but they prove otherwise by taking unnecessary risks, not trading with the probabilities in their favor, and spending too much time looking in all the wrong places when trying to make a trading decision.
And most traders will claim a trading mentor is too expensive, but they'll settle for making poor trading decisions, lack proper guidance, and be without trading methods that have helped thousands of traders improve their trading beyond what they might have been able to do themselves.
If you're dead serious about your financial future, if you're dead serious about making a difference for the people relying on you to succeed, if you're dead serious about trading results you can be proud of......then I urge you to be ready at exactly 12:00noon EST/9:00am PST to listen to our presentation as if it were the single most important thing you have ever heard, because it just might be just that.
This is the last time this will be open to the public this year and open enrollment will not be available for some time.
Just visit...."E-Mini Success Formula is LIVE!"
Wednesday, November 14, 2012
Sunday, November 11, 2012
How do Hedge Funds Trade the First 30 Minutes the Markets are Open?
We have been day trading for years, back to the days when we got excited that we could now use this new technology and fax our orders in. And so much has changed over the years on the technology side. But a lot of things still have not changed one bit. Most importantly is the ability to use market psychology when getting the upper hand on traders and investors on the other side of your trades.
Yes, it's true.....we all can't be winners. There is a losing trade on the other side of every one of your winning trades. And I still, after all these years, believe that most of those losing trades are being placed by retail and professional traders that insist on breaking the rules of Trading 101. The pros know them better then anybody and they still continue to allow their emotions to dictate their trades.
That's why I have partnered with my friend Todd Mitchell in promoting his New 30 Minute E-Mini Breakout Strategy. This is a time tested system that takes your emotion out of the equation and allows you to make your trades in the first 30 minutes that the market is open, then go on with your life. Regardless of news cycles and market reactions. I am buying this for myself, we have traders in our family and our shop that will benefit from the immensely. So should you.
It's free to sign up, watch Todd's video and ask him questions about the program and the way the system works. This is the guy that hedge fund managers are sending their new employees to so they can use the system in their shops. Why wouldn't you take a minute to sign up, read the comments traders are leaving about the program and ask Todd your own questions.
OK, enough of me....I need to get ready for the first 30 minutes of trading on Monday.
See you in the markets,
Ray C. Parrish
President/CEO at The Crude Oil Trader
Just Click Here for "The New 30 Minute E-Mini Breakout Strategy"
Yes, it's true.....we all can't be winners. There is a losing trade on the other side of every one of your winning trades. And I still, after all these years, believe that most of those losing trades are being placed by retail and professional traders that insist on breaking the rules of Trading 101. The pros know them better then anybody and they still continue to allow their emotions to dictate their trades.
That's why I have partnered with my friend Todd Mitchell in promoting his New 30 Minute E-Mini Breakout Strategy. This is a time tested system that takes your emotion out of the equation and allows you to make your trades in the first 30 minutes that the market is open, then go on with your life. Regardless of news cycles and market reactions. I am buying this for myself, we have traders in our family and our shop that will benefit from the immensely. So should you.
It's free to sign up, watch Todd's video and ask him questions about the program and the way the system works. This is the guy that hedge fund managers are sending their new employees to so they can use the system in their shops. Why wouldn't you take a minute to sign up, read the comments traders are leaving about the program and ask Todd your own questions.
OK, enough of me....I need to get ready for the first 30 minutes of trading on Monday.
See you in the markets,
Ray C. Parrish
President/CEO at The Crude Oil Trader
Just Click Here for "The New 30 Minute E-Mini Breakout Strategy"
Saturday, November 10, 2012
Did the SP500 Finally Bottom?
From our trading partner David A. Banister at Market Trends Forecast.com......
The SP 500 finally caved to match or go a bit lower than the SP 500 futures lows of about 11 days ago in yesterday’s action. The drop to the 1390 area is within our 1386-1400 pivot points for a major wave low pattern that we outlined as far back as September 25th for our subscribers.
Our work centers around sentiment and crowd behavior, the headlines are of interest but only tell you the psychology of the publishing arms or talking heads at the time. Often headlines can be negative and the market climbs, or positive and the market is dropping. So the key for our work is figuring out where we are in the sentiment patterns of the crowd, and then to anticipate the pivots ahead of time and invest accordingly.
In fact, in just 24 hours or so we had a 43 point SP 500 drop… this is interesting because the same thing happened at the June 2012 lows as well. Back then we had outlined pivots in the 1250-1270 areas as likely lows, and the market ended up bottoming at 1267. This bottom area yesterday fits within pivots we were able to anticipate 7 weeks ago, without any knowledge of the election or other headlines around the world.
Often, major washout days like yesterday centering around major news (Election) can create the final panic sell-off to complete a wave pattern of negative sentiment to the downside and then reverse the markets higher in new bullish pattern. To be sure, there are many sentiment headwinds like the Fiscal Cliff and more in the coming weeks…but markets tend to price all that in ahead of time right?
At yesterdays lows the market seems to have completed all requirements for a C wave of an ABC complicated decline from the 1474 SP 500 highs and so far an 8 Fibonacci week correction period.
What we expect is a rally now and again, we need to get back up and over 1423-1427 pivots this time and hold more than 24 hours, but the odds of a rally are now at 75% from here. IF we fail to hold the 1388 pivots, then the next levels are 1372 and 1363 to watch.
Bottom Line? Most metrics have been met for a wave pattern low, (Whether this be wave 4 or wave 2 doesnt much matter just yet) and the market now has a chance to start a wave 5 or wave 3 rally to the upside. Lets watch 1388 areas to hold first, then we will watch 1403, then 1423-1427 pivots to clear. We are neutral to bullish now after this washout
Back on Sept 25th we did a chart forecasting a drop to 1395-1400 as likely before the downtrend would end, now let’s see if the market can get some legs here. We have included that old chart here to show you how crowds are fairly predictable in their behavioral patterns in advance.
Consider joining us for free weekly reports, or you can get a subscription discount and daily reports at Market Trends Forecast.com
Get our Free Trading Videos, Lessons and eBook today!
The SP 500 finally caved to match or go a bit lower than the SP 500 futures lows of about 11 days ago in yesterday’s action. The drop to the 1390 area is within our 1386-1400 pivot points for a major wave low pattern that we outlined as far back as September 25th for our subscribers.
Our work centers around sentiment and crowd behavior, the headlines are of interest but only tell you the psychology of the publishing arms or talking heads at the time. Often headlines can be negative and the market climbs, or positive and the market is dropping. So the key for our work is figuring out where we are in the sentiment patterns of the crowd, and then to anticipate the pivots ahead of time and invest accordingly.
In fact, in just 24 hours or so we had a 43 point SP 500 drop… this is interesting because the same thing happened at the June 2012 lows as well. Back then we had outlined pivots in the 1250-1270 areas as likely lows, and the market ended up bottoming at 1267. This bottom area yesterday fits within pivots we were able to anticipate 7 weeks ago, without any knowledge of the election or other headlines around the world.
Often, major washout days like yesterday centering around major news (Election) can create the final panic sell-off to complete a wave pattern of negative sentiment to the downside and then reverse the markets higher in new bullish pattern. To be sure, there are many sentiment headwinds like the Fiscal Cliff and more in the coming weeks…but markets tend to price all that in ahead of time right?
At yesterdays lows the market seems to have completed all requirements for a C wave of an ABC complicated decline from the 1474 SP 500 highs and so far an 8 Fibonacci week correction period.
What we expect is a rally now and again, we need to get back up and over 1423-1427 pivots this time and hold more than 24 hours, but the odds of a rally are now at 75% from here. IF we fail to hold the 1388 pivots, then the next levels are 1372 and 1363 to watch.
Bottom Line? Most metrics have been met for a wave pattern low, (Whether this be wave 4 or wave 2 doesnt much matter just yet) and the market now has a chance to start a wave 5 or wave 3 rally to the upside. Lets watch 1388 areas to hold first, then we will watch 1403, then 1423-1427 pivots to clear. We are neutral to bullish now after this washout
Back on Sept 25th we did a chart forecasting a drop to 1395-1400 as likely before the downtrend would end, now let’s see if the market can get some legs here. We have included that old chart here to show you how crowds are fairly predictable in their behavioral patterns in advance.
Consider joining us for free weekly reports, or you can get a subscription discount and daily reports at Market Trends Forecast.com
Get our Free Trading Videos, Lessons and eBook today!
Thursday, November 8, 2012
FX Crossfire Trading Strategy Revealed!
We have game changing news about the way you trade the Forex. We are unveiling the latest in Forex trading strategies, the FX Crossfire.
In this special premier video, we'll show you how we used the FX Crossfire strategy to capture over 400 pips in just two days. We also used this strategy to capture over $2,000 in profit by trading fundamental announcements like the Non Farm Payroll.
We are only sharing this video with a selected few and you are one of the lucky ones! Click the link below to witness the FX Crossfire strategy in action.
This video could change your Forex trading future forever! In fact, it's so good that we are only allowing 1,000 people to view this video. Watch the video now before it's GONE forever.
Don't miss out on this rare opportunity. Just click here to see the FX Crossfire strategy now.
Happy Trading,
Ray @ The Forex Market Club
We are only sharing this video with a selected few and you are one of the lucky ones! Click the link below to witness the FX Crossfire strategy in action.
This video could change your Forex trading future forever! In fact, it's so good that we are only allowing 1,000 people to view this video. Watch the video now before it's GONE forever.
Don't miss out on this rare opportunity. Just click here to see the FX Crossfire strategy now.
Happy Trading,
Ray @ The Forex Market Club
Monday, November 5, 2012
Why E-Minis Are One of Our Favorite Markets
We here at the Forex Market Club don't talk about E-Mini trading a lot, but there's a reason why the E-Mini futures are one of our favorite markets to trade.....
They're just so darn consistent, the opportunities are easy to spot, and the potential for making daily income is unlike any market we've ever seen!
The problem is most people approach the E-Minis all wrong....
Well, that's about to change....
You'll see what we mean inside of the free video presentation our trading partner Todd Mitchell created for you here.
Not only will you discover the real reason why so many traders use the E-Minis to make money, but he shows you how you can start taking advantage of these opportunities regardless of how large or small your trading account is.
Access is limited [really, no kidding] and that's why we don't intend to leave this video up for long, so please be sure to watch it today!
In this video Todd will also teach you the 3 times of day that offer the most profitable trading opportunities (and when you want to stay out of the market!), how to pull in profits without struggle, a 4 - step sequence to boost your trading profits immediately, and a lot more.
This could be the game changer you are looking for...Click here to watch the video.
Happy trading and we'll see you in the markets!
Ray C. Parrish
President/CEO at The Forex Market Club
They're just so darn consistent, the opportunities are easy to spot, and the potential for making daily income is unlike any market we've ever seen!
The problem is most people approach the E-Minis all wrong....
Well, that's about to change....
You'll see what we mean inside of the free video presentation our trading partner Todd Mitchell created for you here.
Not only will you discover the real reason why so many traders use the E-Minis to make money, but he shows you how you can start taking advantage of these opportunities regardless of how large or small your trading account is.
Access is limited [really, no kidding] and that's why we don't intend to leave this video up for long, so please be sure to watch it today!
In this video Todd will also teach you the 3 times of day that offer the most profitable trading opportunities (and when you want to stay out of the market!), how to pull in profits without struggle, a 4 - step sequence to boost your trading profits immediately, and a lot more.
This could be the game changer you are looking for...Click here to watch the video.
Happy trading and we'll see you in the markets!
Ray C. Parrish
President/CEO at The Forex Market Club
Monday, October 22, 2012
Is the Link between Gold and the U.S. Dollar in Question? Here's our Technical Setup
The $1800 per ounce level continues to be a major technical resistance area for gold. After hovering near $1800 recently, gold moved sharply away from that level last week to close at $1735 an ounce.
Despite that, more fund managers and analysts continue to point to a bright long term future for gold prices. John Hathaway of the Tocqueville Gold Fund says gold will reach new highs within a year. He based his forecast, like many others, on the fact that negative real interest rates look likely to persist as Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve continue to print money.
Believe it or not, some mainstream analysts are also touting gold’s potential. Merrill Lynch analysts point to the correlation (discussed in a previous article) between the price of gold and the expansion of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet since the start of QE1 in early 2009.
Based on the current path of the Fed’s balance sheet expansion, Merrill Lynch came up with two longer term targets for the price of gold. They project gold to hit $2,000 an ounce next summer and to hit $2,400 an ounce by the end of 2014.
Another way to look at gold and the Fed is the so called gold coverage ratio. That is the amount of gold on deposit at the Federal Reserve versus the total money supply. According to Guggenheim Partners, the gold coverage ratio is at an all time low of 17%. The historical average is about 40%, meaning that gold would to more than double to reach the average.
Looking at the Fed’s balance sheet is a new and interesting way to look at and forecast gold prices. In the past, the conventional wisdom was that gold was merely an anti-dollar play: U.S. dollar down, gold up and vice versa. But that seems to be changing....
Reuters had some interesting data. The value of the U.S. dollar net short position fell to $6.43 billion for the week ended October 9. This is substantially down from the previous week’s net short position of $16.3 billion. At the same time, the “managed money” net long gold position in gold futures rose to its highest level since August 2011. That was the time when gold hit its record high of $1,920 an ounce.
So much for conventional wisdom. Both currency and gold traders are seeing this long-term relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar breaking down into a “new normal” of direct central bank intervention into financial markets. Gold seems increasingly to be turning into more of a safe haven play than an anti dollar one. It seems that more investors are worried about all fiat currencies that are burdened by huge debt loads.
The Technical Take.....
Below is a daily chart of gold futures. Looking at the price levels and analysis you can see that a bounce or bottom could form at any time now. Price of gold has pulled back in a mini five wave correction touching both our first Fibonacci retracement level of 38% and the 50 day simple moving average. This is the type of pullback that longer term investors like to add to their long gold position. While gold does have the potential to fall all the way down to $1625, in the long run it should continue to rise for the long term investor.
From a trader point of view, it may be worth a stab to get long gold with a very tight stop, but until we see a real panic selling day in gold where volume is high I don’t think the final bottom is in yet.
You can get my weekly trading analysis and trade ideas at The Gold & Oil Guy.com
Chris Vermeulen
Get our Free Trading Videos, Lessons and eBook today!
Despite that, more fund managers and analysts continue to point to a bright long term future for gold prices. John Hathaway of the Tocqueville Gold Fund says gold will reach new highs within a year. He based his forecast, like many others, on the fact that negative real interest rates look likely to persist as Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve continue to print money.
Believe it or not, some mainstream analysts are also touting gold’s potential. Merrill Lynch analysts point to the correlation (discussed in a previous article) between the price of gold and the expansion of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet since the start of QE1 in early 2009.
Based on the current path of the Fed’s balance sheet expansion, Merrill Lynch came up with two longer term targets for the price of gold. They project gold to hit $2,000 an ounce next summer and to hit $2,400 an ounce by the end of 2014.
Another way to look at gold and the Fed is the so called gold coverage ratio. That is the amount of gold on deposit at the Federal Reserve versus the total money supply. According to Guggenheim Partners, the gold coverage ratio is at an all time low of 17%. The historical average is about 40%, meaning that gold would to more than double to reach the average.
Looking at the Fed’s balance sheet is a new and interesting way to look at and forecast gold prices. In the past, the conventional wisdom was that gold was merely an anti-dollar play: U.S. dollar down, gold up and vice versa. But that seems to be changing....
Reuters had some interesting data. The value of the U.S. dollar net short position fell to $6.43 billion for the week ended October 9. This is substantially down from the previous week’s net short position of $16.3 billion. At the same time, the “managed money” net long gold position in gold futures rose to its highest level since August 2011. That was the time when gold hit its record high of $1,920 an ounce.
So much for conventional wisdom. Both currency and gold traders are seeing this long-term relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar breaking down into a “new normal” of direct central bank intervention into financial markets. Gold seems increasingly to be turning into more of a safe haven play than an anti dollar one. It seems that more investors are worried about all fiat currencies that are burdened by huge debt loads.
The Technical Take.....
Below is a daily chart of gold futures. Looking at the price levels and analysis you can see that a bounce or bottom could form at any time now. Price of gold has pulled back in a mini five wave correction touching both our first Fibonacci retracement level of 38% and the 50 day simple moving average. This is the type of pullback that longer term investors like to add to their long gold position. While gold does have the potential to fall all the way down to $1625, in the long run it should continue to rise for the long term investor.
From a trader point of view, it may be worth a stab to get long gold with a very tight stop, but until we see a real panic selling day in gold where volume is high I don’t think the final bottom is in yet.
You can get my weekly trading analysis and trade ideas at The Gold & Oil Guy.com
Chris Vermeulen
Get our Free Trading Videos, Lessons and eBook today!
Friday, October 5, 2012
70 Second Market Outlook – Metals, Dollar, Bonds, Stocks, Energy
Over the past year we have had some really interesting things
unfold in the market. Investing or even swing trading has been much more
difficult because of all the wild economic data and daily headline news
from all over the globe causing strong surges or sell offs almost every
week.
For a while there you could not hold a position for more than a week without some type of news event moving the market enough to either push you deep in the money or get stopped out for a loss. This has unfortunately caused a lot of individuals to give up on trading which is not a good sign for the financial market as a whole.
The key to navigating stocks which everyone thinks are overbought is to trade small position sizes and focus on the shorter time frames like the 4 hour charts. This chart is my secret weapon and giving you both large price swings which daily chart traders focus on while also showing clear intraday patterns to spot reversals or continuation patterns with precise entry/exit points.
While I could ramble on about why the stock market is primed for major long term growth from this point forward I will keep things short and simple with some 4 hour and daily charts for you to see what I see and what I am thinking should unfold moving forward.
Keep in mind, the most accurate trading opportunities that happen week after week are the quick shifts in sentiment which only last 2-5 days at most which is what most of my charts below are focusing on…..
Dollar Index – 4 Hour Chart
This chart shows a mini Head & Shoulders reversal pattern and likely target over the next five sessions. The dollar index has been driving the market for the past couple years so a lower dollar means higher stock and commodity prices.
Bond Futures – 4 Hour Chart
Money has been flowing into bonds for the past couple weeks with most traders and investors expecting a strong correction in stocks. As you can see the price of bonds hit resistance this week and as of Thursday has now started selling off. Money flowing out of this “Risk Off” asset means money will move to the “Risk On” investments like stocks and commodities.
Gold Futures – Daily Chart
Gold is stuck in both categories in my opinion. It is a “Risk Off” safe haven when people are scared of falling stock prices, and it is also a “Risk On” speculative investment when people are feeling good about the market. Gold has been trading at key resistance for a couple weeks and looks as though it’s starting its next rally.
Silver Futures – Daily Chart
Silver is in the same boat as gold though it carries much more volatility than gold. Expect 2-4% swings regularly and sloppy chart patterns in this metal.
SP500 Futures – Daily Chart
As much as everyone hates to buy stocks up at these lofty prices I hate to say it but I think they are going to keep going up and they could do this for a long time yet. If the dollar index continues to break down then I expect the SP500 to rally another 3% from here (1500) in the next 1-2 weeks.
Crude Oil Futures – 4 Hour Chart
Crude oil has not had much attention from me in the past few months. While it has had big price action many of those big days took place on news causing an instant price movement making this extra dangerous to trade. I continue to watch rather than get attached to it.
Natural Gas Futures – Daily Chart
Natural gas has been a great performer for us in the past 6 months as all the short positions slowly get covered. I just closed out my natural gas ETF trade this week with a 31.9% gain and plan on getting back in once the chart provides another low risk setup.
Trading Conclusion:
In short, I feel the dollar index along with bonds will correct over the next few weeks. That will trigger buying in stocks and commodities. Keep in mind natural gas dances to its own drum beat. The dollar does not have much affect on its price and most times natural gas is doing the opposite of the broad market.
Chris Vermeulen
Get our Free Trading Videos, Lessons and eBook today!
For a while there you could not hold a position for more than a week without some type of news event moving the market enough to either push you deep in the money or get stopped out for a loss. This has unfortunately caused a lot of individuals to give up on trading which is not a good sign for the financial market as a whole.
The key to navigating stocks which everyone thinks are overbought is to trade small position sizes and focus on the shorter time frames like the 4 hour charts. This chart is my secret weapon and giving you both large price swings which daily chart traders focus on while also showing clear intraday patterns to spot reversals or continuation patterns with precise entry/exit points.
While I could ramble on about why the stock market is primed for major long term growth from this point forward I will keep things short and simple with some 4 hour and daily charts for you to see what I see and what I am thinking should unfold moving forward.
Keep in mind, the most accurate trading opportunities that happen week after week are the quick shifts in sentiment which only last 2-5 days at most which is what most of my charts below are focusing on…..
Dollar Index – 4 Hour Chart
This chart shows a mini Head & Shoulders reversal pattern and likely target over the next five sessions. The dollar index has been driving the market for the past couple years so a lower dollar means higher stock and commodity prices.
Bond Futures – 4 Hour Chart
Money has been flowing into bonds for the past couple weeks with most traders and investors expecting a strong correction in stocks. As you can see the price of bonds hit resistance this week and as of Thursday has now started selling off. Money flowing out of this “Risk Off” asset means money will move to the “Risk On” investments like stocks and commodities.
Gold Futures – Daily Chart
Gold is stuck in both categories in my opinion. It is a “Risk Off” safe haven when people are scared of falling stock prices, and it is also a “Risk On” speculative investment when people are feeling good about the market. Gold has been trading at key resistance for a couple weeks and looks as though it’s starting its next rally.
Silver Futures – Daily Chart
Silver is in the same boat as gold though it carries much more volatility than gold. Expect 2-4% swings regularly and sloppy chart patterns in this metal.
SP500 Futures – Daily Chart
As much as everyone hates to buy stocks up at these lofty prices I hate to say it but I think they are going to keep going up and they could do this for a long time yet. If the dollar index continues to break down then I expect the SP500 to rally another 3% from here (1500) in the next 1-2 weeks.
Crude Oil Futures – 4 Hour Chart
Crude oil has not had much attention from me in the past few months. While it has had big price action many of those big days took place on news causing an instant price movement making this extra dangerous to trade. I continue to watch rather than get attached to it.
Natural Gas Futures – Daily Chart
Natural gas has been a great performer for us in the past 6 months as all the short positions slowly get covered. I just closed out my natural gas ETF trade this week with a 31.9% gain and plan on getting back in once the chart provides another low risk setup.
Trading Conclusion:
In short, I feel the dollar index along with bonds will correct over the next few weeks. That will trigger buying in stocks and commodities. Keep in mind natural gas dances to its own drum beat. The dollar does not have much affect on its price and most times natural gas is doing the opposite of the broad market.
Get My Pre-Market Trading Analysis
Video
and Intraday Chart Analysis EVERY DAY – www. The Gold & Crude Oil Guy.com
Chris Vermeulen
Get our Free Trading Videos, Lessons and eBook today!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)