Showing posts with label downside. Show all posts
Showing posts with label downside. Show all posts

Thursday, September 28, 2017

How Our Multiple Cycle and Vibrational-Frequency Cycles Are Lining Up

A quick look at any of the US majors will show most investors that the markets have recently been pushing upward towards new all time highs. These traditional market instruments can be misleading at times when relating the actual underlying technical and fundamental price activities. Today, we are going to explore some research using our custom index instruments that we use to gauge and relate more of the underlying market price action.

What if we told you to prepare for a potentially massive price swing over the next few months? What if we told you that the US and Global markets are setting up for what could be the “October Surprise of 2017” and very few analysts have identified this trigger yet? Michael Bloomberg recently stated “I cannot for the life of me understand why the market keeps going up”. Want to know why this perception continues and what the underlying factors of market price activity are really telling technicians?

At ATP we provide full time dedicated research and trading signal solution for professional and active traders. Our research team has dedicated thousands or hours into developing a series of specialized modeling systems and analysis tools to assist us in finding successful trading opportunities as well as key market fundamentals. In the recent past, we have accurately predicted multiple VIX Spikes, in some cases to the exact day, and market signals that have proven to be great successes for our clients. Today, we’re going to share with you something that you may choose to believe or not – but within 60 days, we believe you’ll be searching the internet to find this article again knowing ATP (Active Trading Partners) accurately predicted one of the biggest moves of the 21st century. Are you ready?

Let’s start with the SPY. From the visual analysis of the chart, below, it would be difficult for anyone to clearly see the fragility of the US or Global markets. This chart is showing a clearly bullish trend with the perception that continued higher highs should prevail.



Additionally, when we review the QQQ we see a similar picture. Although the volatility is typically greater in the NASDAQ vs. the S&P, the QQQ chart presents a similar picture. Strong upward price activity in addition to historically consistent price advances. What could go wrong with these pictures – right? The markets are stronger than ever and as we’ve all heard “it’s different this time”.


Most readers are probably saying “yea, we’ve heard it before and we know – buy the dips”.

Recently, we shared some research with you regarding longer term time/price cycles (3/7/10 year cycles) and prior to that, we’ve been warning of a Sept 28~29, 2017 VIX Spike that could be massive and a “game changer” in terms of trend. We’ve been warning our members that this setup in price is leading us to be very cautious regarding new trading signals as volatility should continue to wane prior to this VIX Spike and market trends may be muted and short lived. We’ve still made a few calls for our clients, but we’ve tried to be very cautious in terms of timing and objectives.

Right now, the timing could not be any better to share this message with you and to “make it public” that we are making this prediction. A number of factors are lining up that may create a massive price correction in the near future and we want to help you protect your investments and learn to profit from this move and other future moves. So, as you read this article, it really does not matter if you believe our analysis or not – the proof will become evident (or not) within less than 60 days based on our research. One way or another, we will be proven correct or incorrect by the markets.

Over the past 6+ years, capital has circled the globe over and over attempting to find suitable ROI. It is our belief that this capital has rooted into investment vehicles that are capable of producing relatively secure and consistent returns based on the global economy continuing without any type of adverse event. In other words, global capital is rather stable right now in terms of sourcing ROI and capital deployment throughout the globe. It would take a relatively massive event to disrupt this capital process at the moment.

Asia/China are pushing the upper bounds of a rather wide trading channel and price action is setting up like the SPY and QQQ charts, above. A clear upper boundary is evident as well as our custom vibrational/frequency analysis arcs that are warning us of a potential change in price trend. You can see from the Red Arrow we’ve drawn, any attempt to retest the channel lows would equate to an 8% decrease in current prices.


Still, there is more evidence that we are setting up for a potentially massive global price move. The metals markets are the “fear/greed” gauge of the planet (or at least they have been for hundreds of years). When the metals spike higher, fear is entering the markets and investors avoid share price risks. When the metals trail lower, greed is entering the markets and investors chase share price value.

Without going into too much detail, this custom metals chart should tell you all you need to know. Our analysis is that we are nearing the completion of Wave C within an initial Wave 1 (bottom formation) from the lows in Dec 2016. Our prediction is that the completion of Wave #5 will end somewhere above the $56 level on this chart (> 20%+ from current levels). The completion of this Wave #5 will lead to the creation of a quick corrective wave, followed by a larger and more aggressive upward expansion wave that could quickly take out the $75~95 levels. Quite possibly before the end of Q1 2018.


We’ve termed this move the “Rip your face off Metals Rally”. You can see from this metals chart that we have identified multiple cycle and vibrational/frequency cycles that are lining up between now and the end of 2017. It is critical to understand the in order for this move to happen, a great deal of fear needs to reenter the global markets. What would cause that to happen??

Now for the “Hidden Gem”....

We’ve presented some interesting and, we believe, accurate market technical analysis. We’ve also been presenting previous research regarding our VIX Spikes and other analysis that has been accurate and timely. Currently, our next VIX Spike projection is Sept 28~29, 2017. We believe this VIX Spike could be much larger than the last spike highs and could lead to, or correlate with, a disruptive market event. We have ideas of what that event might be like, but we don’t know exactly what will happen at this time or if the event will even become evident in early October 2017. All we do know is the following....

The Head-n-Shoulders pattern we first predicted back in June/July of this year has nearly completed and we have only about 10~14 trading days before the Neck Line will be retested. This is the Hidden Gem. This is our custom US Index that we use to filter out the noise of price activity and to more clearly identify underlying technical and price pattern formations. You saw from the earlier charts that the Head n Shoulders pattern was not clearly visible on the SPY or QQQ charts – but on THIS chart, you can’t miss it.

It is a little tough to see on this small chart but, one can see the correlation of our cycle analysis, the key dates of September 28~29 aligning perfectly with vibration/frequency cycles originating from the start of the “head” formation. We have only about 10~14 trading days before the Neck Line will likely be retested and, should it fail, we could see a massive price move to the downside.


What you should expect over the next 10~14 trading days is simple to understand.

Expect continued price volatility and expanded rotation in the US majors.
  • Expect the VIX to stay below 10.00 for only a day or two longer before hinting at a bigger spike move (meaning moving above 10 or 11 as a primer)
  • Expect the metals markets to form a potential bottom pattern and begin to inch higher as fear reenters the markets _ Expect certain sectors to show signs of weakness prior to this move (possibly technology, healthcare, bio-tech, financials, lending)
  • Expect the US majors to appear to “dip” within a 2~4% range and expect the news cycles to continue the “buy the dip” mantra.
The real key to all of this is what happens AFTER October 1st and for the next 30~60 days after. This event will play out as a massive event or a non event. What we do know is that this event has been setting up for over 5 months and has played out almost exactly as we have predicted. Now, we are 10+ days away from a critical event horizon and we are alerting you well in advance that it is, possibly, going to be a bigger event.

Now, I urge all of you to visit our website to learn more about what we do and how we provide this type of advanced analysis and research for our clients. We also provide clear and timely trading signals to our clients to assist them in finding profitable trading opportunities based on our research. Our team of dedicated analysts and researchers do our best to bring you the best, most accurate and advanced research we can deliver. The fact that we called this Head-n-Shoulders formation back in June/July and called multiple VIX Spike events should be enough evidence to consider this call at least a strong possibility.

If you want to take full advantage of the markets to profit from these moves, then join us today here at the Active Trading Partners and become a member.



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Saturday, August 15, 2015

This Weeks Currency and Forex Market Summary - Dollar, Euro, Yen, Pound and more!

The September Dollar closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of the decline off last Friday's high. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September renews the decline off August's high, the reaction low crossing at 95.55 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 97.33 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 98.42. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 99.16. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 95.94. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 95.55.

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The September Euro closed lower on Friday as it consolidated some of the rally off July's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off July's low, the reaction high crossing at 112.92 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 109.95 would temper the near term friendly outlook. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 112.26. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 112.92. First support is August's low crossing at 108.52. Second support is July's low crossing at 108.28.

The September British Pound closed higher on Friday while extending the July-August trading range. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1.5669 are needed to renew the rally off July's low. If September resumes the decline off June's high, July's low crossing at 1.5323 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.5669. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 1.5924. First support is last Friday's low crossing at 1.5419. Second support is July's low crossing at 1.5323.

The September Swiss Franc closed steady on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0309 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off June's high, March's low crossing at 0.9966 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0309. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.0488. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1.0108. Second support is March's low crossing at 0.9966.

The September Canadian Dollar closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends this month's rally, the reaction high crossing at 77.73 is the next upside target. If September resumes the decline off May's high, weekly support crossing at 73.92 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 77.73. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 78.96. First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 75.66. Second support is weekly support crossing at 73.92.

The September Japanese Yen closed higher on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at .8056 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at .7956 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .8056. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at .8134. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at .7984. Second support is June's low crossing at .7956.

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Sunday, June 28, 2015

This Weeks Currency and Forex Market Summary

The September U.S. Dollar closed higher on Friday as it extends this week's rally. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Multiple closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 95.47 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off May's high, the 50% retracement level of the September-March rally crossing at 93.06 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 95.47. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 97.34. First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 93.30. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the September-March rally crossing at 93.06.

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The September Euro closed lower on Friday as it extended this week's decline below the 20 day moving average crossing at 112.52. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 110.64 is the next downside target. If September renews the rally off May's low, May's high crossing at 114.85 is the next upside target. First resistance is May's high crossing at 114.85. Second resistance is the February's high crossing at 115.60. First support is the reaction low crossing at 110.64. Second support is May's low crossing at 108.37.

The September Swiss Franc closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidates some of this week's decline but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0774. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower possible near term. If September extends this week's decline, May's low crossing at 1.0526 is the next downside target. If September renews the rally off May's low, May's high crossing at 1.1042 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 1.0964. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 1.1042. First support is May's low crossing at 1.0526. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.0373.

The September Canadian Dollar closed unchanged on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September extends this week's decline, June's low crossing at 79.46 is the next downside target. If September resumes this month's rally, May's high crossing at 83.75 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 82.35. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 83.75. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 80.39. Second support is June's low crossing at 79.46.

The September Japanese Yen closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends this month's rally, the reaction high crossing at .8300 is the next upside target. If September renews this year's decline, monthly support crossing at .7415 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at .8180. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at .8300. First support is June's low crossing at .7956. Second support is monthly support crossing at .7415.

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Friday, May 15, 2015

Currency Market Summary for Week Ending Friday May 15th

The June U.S. Dollar closed lower on Friday as it extends the decline off April's high. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If June extends the decline off April's high, the 38% retracement level of the June-March rally crossing at 92.90 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 95.62 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 94.48. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 95.62. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 93.15. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the June-March rally crossing at 92.90.

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The June Euro closed higher on Friday as it extends the rally off April's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends the rally off April's low, February's high crossing at 115.46 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 111.09 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 114.72. Second resistance is the February's high crossing at 115.46. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 111.09. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 110.72.

The June British Pound closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidates some of the rally off April's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the July-April decline crossing at 1.6121 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5313 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the July-April decline crossing at 1.5823. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the July-April decline crossing at 1.6121. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.5472. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5313.

The June Swiss Franc closed lower on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June renews the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the January-March decline crossing at 1.1189 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0691 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.1037. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the January-March decline crossing at 1.1189. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0691. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.0437.

The June Canadian Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.60 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If June renews the rally off March's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2015 decline crossing at 84.82 is the next upside target. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at 83.86. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2015 decline crossing at 0.8482. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 82.60. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 81.20.

The June Japanese Yen closed slightly lower on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above March's high crossing at .8460 are needed to renew the rally off March's low. Closes below the reaction low crossing at .8301 would open the door for additional weakness near term. First resistance is March's high crossing at .8460. Second resistance is February's high crossing at .8562. First support is April's low crossing at .8280. Second support is March's low crossing at .8205.

Saturday, January 3, 2015

Extreme Currency Market Summary for Week Ending January 2nd

The March U.S. Dollar gapped up and closed higher on Friday as it extends last year's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, weekly resistance crossing at 92.53 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 89.60 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 91.43. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 92.53. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 89.60. Second support is December's low crossing at 87.83.

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The March Euro closed sharply lower on Friday as it extends last year's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March extends last year's decline, monthly support crossing at 118.74 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 122.87 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 122.87. Second resistance is December's high crossing at 125.79. First support is today's low crossing at 120.09. Second support is weekly support crossing at 118.74.

The March British Pound closed sharply lower on Friday marking a downside breakout of the November-December trading range. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish with today's decline signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off July's high, monthly support crossing at 1.4806 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5597 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5597. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.5776. First support is today's low crossing at 1.5318. Second support is monthly support crossing at 1.4806.

The March Swiss Franc closed lower on Friday as it extends last year's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March extends last year's decline, monthly support crossing at 0.9824 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0226 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.0132. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0226. First support is today's low crossing at 0.9998. Second support is monthly support crossing at 0.9824.

The March Canadian Dollar closed sharply lower on Friday marking a downside breakout of December's trading range. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI turned neutral to bearish with today's decline signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March extends last year's decline, monthly support crossing at 83.89 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 86.41 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 86.41. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 89.12. First support is today's low crossing at 84.86. Second support is monthly support crossing at 83.89.

The March Japanese Yen closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March renews the decline off December's high, December's low crossing at .8219 is the next downside target. Closes above Tuesday's high crossing at .8419 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is December's high crossing at .8663. Second resistance is the 25% retracement level of the 2013-2014 decline crossing at .8773. First support is December's low crossing at .8219. Second support is weekly support crossing at .8171.



Monday, October 13, 2014

Currency Market Summary for Monday October 13th

The December Dollar closed lower on Monday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.43 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off May's low, weekly resistance crossing at 87.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is October's high crossing at 86.87. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 87.00. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.43. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 84.00.

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The December Euro closed higher on Monday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this summer's decline, monthly support crossing at 124.56 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 127.40 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 127.40. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 130.06. First support is October's low crossing at 125.06. Second support is weekly support crossing at 124.56.

The December British Pound closed higher on Monday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December resumes the decline off July's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.5732 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6200. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.6515. First support is October's low crossing at 1.5941. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.5732.

The December Swiss Franc closed higher on Monday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0541 would confirm that a low has been posted. If December extends the decline off July's high, monthly support crossing at 1.0166 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0541. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.0761. First support is October's low crossing at 1.0333. Second support is monthly support crossing at 1.0166.

The December Canadian Dollar closed higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the March low crossing at 88.31 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 89.83 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 89.93. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 91.67. First support is October's low crossing at 88.57. Second support is March's low crossing at 88.31.

The December Japanese Yen gapped up and closed higher on Monday as it extended this month's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remains neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends this month's rally, the 38% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at .9415 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .9213 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .9344. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at .9415. First support is October's low crossing at .9088. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9013.

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Wednesday, September 3, 2014

Mid Week Currency Market Summary for Wednesday September 3rd

The December Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the rally off May's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off May's low, weekly resistance crossing at 83.66 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 82.19 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 83.19. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 83.66. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 82.68. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.19.

The December Euro closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this summer's decline, the 87% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 129.96 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 132.90 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 132.02. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 132.90. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 131.19. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 129.96.

The December British Pound closed lower on Wednesday confirming yesterday's key reversal down. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6281 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6633 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 1.6629. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6633. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 1.6426. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6281.

The December Swiss Franc closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0802 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0986 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0986. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.1090. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1.0869. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0802.

The December Canadian Dollar closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing at 90.70 would confirm that a top has been posted. If December renews the rally off last Tuesday's low, the reaction high crossing at 93.04 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 92.26. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 93.04. First support is last Tuesday'slow crossing at 90.70. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the March-July rally crossing at 89.67.

The December Japanese Yen closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the decline off July's high. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off June's high, weekly support crossing at .9486 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at .9697 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at .9731. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .9697. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at .9500. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9486. 

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Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Mid Week Currency and Forex Market Summary

The March U.S. Dollar closed lower on Tuesday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near term. If March resumes this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 79.82 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.62 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.62. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 80.91. First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 79.95. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 79.82.

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The March Euro closed slightly higher on Tuesday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends the aforementioned rally, the reaction high crossing at 138.34 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.42 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 137.73. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 138.34. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.42. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 135.62.

The March British Pound closed higher on Tuesday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6527 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off February's low, monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 1.6821. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6527. Second support is February's low crossing at 1.6247.

The March Swiss Franc closed higher on Tuesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this month's rally, December's high crossing at .11373 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .11165 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at .11301. Second resistance is December's high crossing at .11373. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at .11222. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .11165.

The March Canadian Dollar closed lower on Tuesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March renews last week's decline, this month's low crossing at 88.99 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 90.55 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 91.60. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the September-January decline crossing at 92.32 . First support is last Friday's low crossing at 89.27. Second support is this month's low crossing at 88.99.

The March Japanese Yen closed higher on Tuesday. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. If March renews the rally off January's low, the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026 is the next upside target. If March extends this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at .9672 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .9920. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026. First support is last Friday's low crossing at .9725. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .9672.

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Saturday, February 22, 2014

This Weeks Currency and Forex Market Summary

The March U.S. Dollar closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that a short term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.67 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. If March resumes this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 79.82 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.67. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 81.44. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 79.95. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 79.82.

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The March Euro closed higher on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.36 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March extends the aforementioned rally, the reaction high crossing at 138.34 is the next upside target. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 137.73. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 138.34. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.36. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 135.62.

The March British Pound closed lower on Friday as it consolidates some of this month's rally. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6513 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off last week's low, monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 1.6821. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6513. Second support is February's low crossing at 1.6247.

The March Swiss Franc closed higher on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends this month's rally, December's high crossing at .11373 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .11155 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at .11294. Second resistance is December's high crossing at .11373. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at .11199. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .11155.

The March Canadian Dollar closed lower on Friday as it extends this week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March extends this week's decline, this month's low crossing at 88.99 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 90.60 would confirm that a low has been posted. If March resumes this month's rally, the 38% retracement level of the September-January decline crossing at 92.32 is the next upside target. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 91.60. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the September-January decline crossing at 92.32. First support is today's low crossing at 89.27. Second support is this month's low crossing at 88.99.

The March Japanese Yen closed lower on Friday. Today's mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Multiple closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .9786 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off January's low, the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .9920. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026. First support is today's low crossing at .9725. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .9672.


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