Currency Market Summary for Week Ending Friday September 4th

The December Dollar closed lower on Friday but remains above the 20 day moving average crossing at 96.29. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the reaction high crossing at 97.40 is the next upside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 97.04. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 98.74. First support is August's low crossing at 92.85. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2014-2015 rally crossing at 92.36.

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The December Euro closed higher due to short covering on Friday but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 112.26. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 110.39 is the next downside target. First resistance is August's high crossing at 117.30. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2014-2015 decline crossing at 118.34. First support is the reaction low crossing at 110.39. Second support is August's low crossing at 108.73.

The December British Pound closed lower on Friday as it extended its decline off August's high. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the aforementioned decline, the 62% retracement level of the April-June-rally crossing at 1.5110 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5516 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.5406. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5516. First support is today's low crossing at 1.5159. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the April-June rally crossing at 1.5110.

The December Swiss Franc posted an inside day with a higher close on Friday as it consolidates some of the decline off August's high. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off August's high, the reaction low crossing at 1.0248 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.0460 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.0460. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 1.0842. First support is the reaction low crossing at 1.0248. Second support is August's low crossing at 1.0147.

The December Canadian Dollar closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December resumes the decline off May's high, weekly support crossing at 73.92 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 77.10 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 77.10. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 77.68. First support is August's low crossing at 74.87. Second support is weekly support crossing at 73.92.

The December Japanese Yen closed higher on Friday as it extends this week's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December renews the rally off August's low, August's high crossing at .8603 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .8212 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is August's high crossing at .8603. Second resistance is January's high crossing at .8653. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at .8349. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .8212.

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Currency Market Summary for Week Ending Friday August 28th

The September Dollar closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it extends the rally off August's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 96.45 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off August's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2014-2015 rally crossing at 91.04 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 95.45. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 97.11. First support is Monday's low crossing at 92.52. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2014-2015 rally crossing at 91.04.

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The September Euro closed lower on Friday as it extends this week's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 111.40 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off July's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2014-2015 decline crossing at 118.09 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 117.18. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2014-2015 decline crossing at 118.09. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 111.40. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 110.20.

The September British Pound closed lower on Friday as it extended its decline off Tuesday's high. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September extends this week's decline, July's low crossing at 1.5323 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.5604 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 1.5817. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 1.5924. First support is July's low crossing at 1.5323. Second support is June's low crossing at 1.5160.

The September Swiss Franc closed higher on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0333 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off August's low, the 87% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 1.0922 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 1.0809. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 1.0922. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0333. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.0213.

The September Canadian Dollar closed slightly higher due to short covering on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 77.20 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If September extends the decline off May's high, weekly support crossing at 73.92 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 77.20. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 77.73. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 74.93. Second support is weekly support crossing at 73.92.

The September Japanese Yen closed lower on Friday as it extends the correction off Monday's high. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .8126 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September renews this month's rally, January's high crossing at .8640 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at .8591. Second resistance is January's high crossing at .8640. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at .8216. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .8126.

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This Weeks Currency and Forex Market Summary - Dollar, Euro, Yen, Pound and more!

The September Dollar closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of the decline off last Friday's high. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September renews the decline off August's high, the reaction low crossing at 95.55 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 97.33 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 98.42. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 99.16. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 95.94. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 95.55.

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The September Euro closed lower on Friday as it consolidated some of the rally off July's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off July's low, the reaction high crossing at 112.92 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 109.95 would temper the near term friendly outlook. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 112.26. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 112.92. First support is August's low crossing at 108.52. Second support is July's low crossing at 108.28.

The September British Pound closed higher on Friday while extending the July-August trading range. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1.5669 are needed to renew the rally off July's low. If September resumes the decline off June's high, July's low crossing at 1.5323 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.5669. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 1.5924. First support is last Friday's low crossing at 1.5419. Second support is July's low crossing at 1.5323.

The September Swiss Franc closed steady on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0309 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off June's high, March's low crossing at 0.9966 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0309. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.0488. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1.0108. Second support is March's low crossing at 0.9966.

The September Canadian Dollar closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends this month's rally, the reaction high crossing at 77.73 is the next upside target. If September resumes the decline off May's high, weekly support crossing at 73.92 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 77.73. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 78.96. First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 75.66. Second support is weekly support crossing at 73.92.

The September Japanese Yen closed higher on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at .8056 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at .7956 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .8056. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at .8134. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at .7984. Second support is June's low crossing at .7956.

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This Weeks Currency and Forex Market Summary

The September U.S. Dollar closed higher on Friday as it extends this week's rally. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Multiple closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 95.47 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off May's high, the 50% retracement level of the September-March rally crossing at 93.06 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 95.47. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 97.34. First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 93.30. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the September-March rally crossing at 93.06.

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The September Euro closed lower on Friday as it extended this week's decline below the 20 day moving average crossing at 112.52. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 110.64 is the next downside target. If September renews the rally off May's low, May's high crossing at 114.85 is the next upside target. First resistance is May's high crossing at 114.85. Second resistance is the February's high crossing at 115.60. First support is the reaction low crossing at 110.64. Second support is May's low crossing at 108.37.

The September Swiss Franc closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidates some of this week's decline but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0774. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower possible near term. If September extends this week's decline, May's low crossing at 1.0526 is the next downside target. If September renews the rally off May's low, May's high crossing at 1.1042 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 1.0964. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 1.1042. First support is May's low crossing at 1.0526. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.0373.

The September Canadian Dollar closed unchanged on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September extends this week's decline, June's low crossing at 79.46 is the next downside target. If September resumes this month's rally, May's high crossing at 83.75 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 82.35. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 83.75. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 80.39. Second support is June's low crossing at 79.46.

The September Japanese Yen closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends this month's rally, the reaction high crossing at .8300 is the next upside target. If September renews this year's decline, monthly support crossing at .7415 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at .8180. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at .8300. First support is June's low crossing at .7956. Second support is monthly support crossing at .7415.

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Currency Market Summary for Monday October 13th

The December Dollar closed lower on Monday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.43 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off May's low, weekly resistance crossing at 87.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is October's high crossing at 86.87. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 87.00. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.43. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 84.00.

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The December Euro closed higher on Monday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this summer's decline, monthly support crossing at 124.56 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 127.40 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 127.40. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 130.06. First support is October's low crossing at 125.06. Second support is weekly support crossing at 124.56.

The December British Pound closed higher on Monday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December resumes the decline off July's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.5732 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6200. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.6515. First support is October's low crossing at 1.5941. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.5732.

The December Swiss Franc closed higher on Monday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0541 would confirm that a low has been posted. If December extends the decline off July's high, monthly support crossing at 1.0166 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0541. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.0761. First support is October's low crossing at 1.0333. Second support is monthly support crossing at 1.0166.

The December Canadian Dollar closed higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the March low crossing at 88.31 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 89.83 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 89.93. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 91.67. First support is October's low crossing at 88.57. Second support is March's low crossing at 88.31.

The December Japanese Yen gapped up and closed higher on Monday as it extended this month's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remains neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends this month's rally, the 38% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at .9415 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .9213 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .9344. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at .9415. First support is October's low crossing at .9088. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9013.

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Mid Week Currency Market Summary for Wednesday Sept 10th

The December Dollar posted an inside day with a lower close on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this summer's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off May's low, weekly resistance crossing at 84.96 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.83 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 84.65. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 84.96. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 83.52. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.83.

The December Euro closed slightly lower on Wednesday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this summer's decline, the July 2013 low crossing at 128.50 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 131.78 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 130.52. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 131.78. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 128.71. Second support is the July 2013 low crossing at 128.50.

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The December British Pound closed sharply higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the decline off July's high. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6007 is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's gap crossing at 1.6273 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is Monday's gap crossing at 1.6273. Second resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.6359. First support is today's low crossing at 1.6039. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6007.

The December Swiss Franc closed lower on Wednesday as it extends the decline off March's high. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 87% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0518 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0907 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.0818. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0907. First support is the 75% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0653. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0518.

The December Canadian Dollar closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 90.70 would confirm that a top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near term. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 91.49 would temper the near term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 91.49. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 92.26. First support is the 62% retracement level of the March-July rally crossing at 90.40. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the March-July rally crossing at 89.67.

The December Japanese Yen closed lower on Wednesday as it extends this summer's decline. Today's low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off June's high, weekly support crossing at .9013 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at .9610 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at .9524. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .9610. First support is today's low crossing at .9365. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9013.

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Mid Week Currency Market Summary for Wednesday September 3rd

The December Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the rally off May's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off May's low, weekly resistance crossing at 83.66 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 82.19 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 83.19. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 83.66. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 82.68. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.19.

The December Euro closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this summer's decline, the 87% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 129.96 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 132.90 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 132.02. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 132.90. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 131.19. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 129.96.

The December British Pound closed lower on Wednesday confirming yesterday's key reversal down. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6281 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6633 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 1.6629. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6633. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 1.6426. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6281.

The December Swiss Franc closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0802 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0986 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0986. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.1090. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1.0869. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0802.

The December Canadian Dollar closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing at 90.70 would confirm that a top has been posted. If December renews the rally off last Tuesday's low, the reaction high crossing at 93.04 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 92.26. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 93.04. First support is last Tuesday'slow crossing at 90.70. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the March-July rally crossing at 89.67.

The December Japanese Yen closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the decline off July's high. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off June's high, weekly support crossing at .9486 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at .9697 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at .9731. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .9697. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at .9500. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9486. 

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Currency/Forex Market Summary for Wednesday April 30th

The June U.S. Dollar posted a key reversal down on Wednesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If June renews the decline off April's high, weekly support crossing at 78.91 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 79.96 are needed to confirm that a double bottom with March's low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 79.93. Second resistance is April's high crossing at 80.77. First support is March's low crossing at 79.37. Second support is weekly support crossing at 78.91.

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The June Euro closed higher on Wednesday while extending the trading range of the past three weeks. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June renews the rally off April's low, March's high crossing at 139.66 is the next upside target. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 137.82 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 139.03. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 139.66. First support is the reaction low crossing at 137.82. Second support is April's low crossing at 136.69.

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The June British Pound closed higher on Wednesday as it extends this year's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought , diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends the rally off March's low, weekly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. Multiple closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6744 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.6895. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6744. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.6640.

The June Swiss Franc closed higher on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June renews the rally off April's low, March's high crossing at .11503 is the next upside target. If June renews the decline off April's high, April's low crossing at 1.1175 is the next downside target. First resistance is April's high crossing at .11443. Second resistance is March's high crossing at .11503. First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at .11289. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at .11160.

The June Canadian Dollar closed slightly higher on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends this week's rally, April's high crossing at 91.95 is the next upside target. If June renews the decline off April's high, the reaction low crossing at 89.45 is the next downside target. First resistance is April's high crossing at 91.95. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 decline crossing at 92.96. First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 90.43. Second support is April's low crossing at 88.45.

The June Japanese Yen closed higher on Wednesday. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June renews the rally off April's low, February's high crossing at .9930 is the next upside target. If June renews the decline off April's high, April's low crossing at .9598 is the next downside target. First resistance is March's high crossing at .9886. Second resistance is February's high crossing at .9930. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at .9732. Second support is April's low crossing at .9598.

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Currency Market Summary for Good Friday April 18th

The June U.S. Dollar closed slightly higher due to short covering on Thursday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.07 would confirm that a double bottom with March's low has been posted. If June renews this month's decline, weekly support crossing at 78.91 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.07. Second resistance is April's high crossing at 80.77. First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 79.38. Second support is weekly support crossing at 78.91.


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The June Euro closed slightly lower on Thursday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 137.95 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If June renews last week's rally, March's high crossing at 139.66 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 139.03. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 139.66. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 137.95. Second support is April's low crossing at 136.69.

The June British Pound closed slightly lower on Thursday but not before posting a new high for the year. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends the rally off March's low, weekly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. Multiple closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6650 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.6834. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6650. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.6545.

The June Swiss Franc closed lower due to profit taking on Thursday as it consolidates some of the rally off April's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .11326 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If June renews the rally off April's low, March's high crossing at .11503 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at .11443. Second resistance is March's high crossing at .11503. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .11326. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at .11160.

The June Canadian Dollar closed slightly higher on Thursday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 90.55 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If June renews the rally off March's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 decline crossing at 92.96 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 91.95. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 decline crossing at 92.96. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 90.55. Second support is April's low crossing at 88.45.

The June Japanese Yen closed lower on Thursday. Today's low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .9763 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If June renews this month's rally, February's high crossing at .9930 is the next upside target. First resistance is March's high crossing at .9886. Second resistance is February's high crossing at .9930. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .9763. Second support is this month's low crossing at .9598.

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Currency Market Update for Week Ending March 7th

The June U.S. Dollar closed higher due to short covering on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If June extends the decline off February's high, monthly support crossing at 78.91 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.50 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.37. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 80.74. First support is today's low crossing at 79.59. Second support is monthly support crossing at 78.91.

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The June Euro closed slightly higher on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends the rally off February's low, monthly resistance crossing at 142.12 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 137.23 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 139.13. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 142.12. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 137.23. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 136.44.

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The June British Pound closed lower on Friday as it extends the trading range of the past three weeks. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish hinting that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6631 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If June resumes the rally off February's low, monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. First resistance is February's high crossing at 1.6805. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6631. Second support is February's low crossing at 1.6239.

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The June Swiss Franc closed higher on Friday as it extends this winter's rally. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends the rally off January's low, weekly resistance crossing at .11615 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .11259 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .11443. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at .11615. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .11259. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .11209.

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The June Canadian Dollar closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near. If June extends this week's rally, February's high crossing at 91.38 is the next upside target. If June renews the decline off February's high, February's low crossing at 88.85 is the next downside target. First resistance is February's high crossing at 91.38. Second resistance is the 25% retracement level of the September-January decline crossing at 91.69 . First support is the reaction low crossing at 89.10. Second support is February's low crossing at 88.85.

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The June Japanese Yen closed lower on Friday as it extends this week's downside breakout of February's trading range. Today's mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If June extends the decline off February's high, the reaction low crossing at .9548 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at .9778 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at .9778. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .9817. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10017. First support is today's low crossing at .9641. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .9548.

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Currency Market Summary for Week Ending February 28th

The March Dollar closed sharply lower on Friday as it renewed February's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but turning neutral to bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near term. If March extends the decline off February's high, December's low crossing at 79.50 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.49 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.49. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 80.91. First support is today's low crossing at 79.70. Second support is December's low crossing at 79.50.

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The March Euro closed higher on Friday as it renews the rally off February's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends the rally off February's low, December's high crossing at 138.93 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.59 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 138.26. Second resistance is December's high crossing at 138.93. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.59. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 135.62.

The March British Pound closed higher on Friday as it extends the trading range of the past two weeks. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March resumes the rally off February's low, monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6550 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 1.6821. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6550. Second support is February's low crossing at 1.6247.

The March Swiss Franc closed higher on Friday and posted a new contract high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends the rally off January's low, weekly resistance crossing at .11615 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .11187 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .11398. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at .11615. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .11187. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .11067.

The March Canadian Dollar closed higher on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near. Multiple closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 90.34 are needed to temper the near term bearish outlook. If March renews the decline off last week's high, February's low crossing at 88.99 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 91.60. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the September-January decline crossing at 92.32 . First support is last Friday's low crossing at 89.27. Second support is this month's low crossing at 88.99.

The March Japanese Yen closed higher on Friday as it extends the trading range of the past three weeks. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March renews the rally off January's low, the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026 is the next upside target. If March renews the decline off February's high, the reaction low crossing at .9672 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .9920. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026. First support is last Friday's low crossing at .9725. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .9672.

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Mid Week Currency and Forex Market Summary

The March U.S. Dollar closed lower on Tuesday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near term. If March resumes this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 79.82 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.62 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.62. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 80.91. First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 79.95. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 79.82.

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The March Euro closed slightly higher on Tuesday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends the aforementioned rally, the reaction high crossing at 138.34 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.42 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 137.73. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 138.34. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.42. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 135.62.

The March British Pound closed higher on Tuesday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6527 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off February's low, monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 1.6821. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6527. Second support is February's low crossing at 1.6247.

The March Swiss Franc closed higher on Tuesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this month's rally, December's high crossing at .11373 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .11165 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at .11301. Second resistance is December's high crossing at .11373. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at .11222. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .11165.

The March Canadian Dollar closed lower on Tuesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March renews last week's decline, this month's low crossing at 88.99 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 90.55 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 91.60. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the September-January decline crossing at 92.32 . First support is last Friday's low crossing at 89.27. Second support is this month's low crossing at 88.99.

The March Japanese Yen closed higher on Tuesday. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. If March renews the rally off January's low, the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026 is the next upside target. If March extends this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at .9672 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .9920. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026. First support is last Friday's low crossing at .9725. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .9672.

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Mid Week Currency Market Commentary - U.S. Dollar, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar, Yen - for Tuesday Evening December 3rd

The U.S. Dollar closed lower on Tuesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March renews the rally off October's low, the 50% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 82.26 is the next upside target. If March extends the decline off November's high, the November 1st gap crossing at 79.98 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 81.57. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 82.26. First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 80.67. Second support is the November 1st gap crossing at 79.98.

The March Euro closed higher on Tuesday and the high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 134.95 are needed to confirm that the rally off November's low has ended. If March extends the rally off November's low, the reaction high crossing at 137.05 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 136.23. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 137.05. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 134.95. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 134.02.

The March British Pound posted an inside day with a higher close on Tuesday leaving yesterday's downside reversal unconfirmed at this time. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends the rally off November's low, monthly resistance crossing at 1.6738 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6120 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 1.6427. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 1.6738. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.6219. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6120.

The March Swiss Franc closed higher on Tuesday as it extends the rally off November's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .10964 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March extends the aforementioned rally, the reaction high crossing at .11156 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at .11081. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at .11156. First support is the reaction low crossing at .10891. Second support is November's low crossing at .10829.

The March Canadian Dollar closed lower on Tuesday and below key support marked by July's low crossing at 93.60 as it extends the decline off September's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March extends this fall's decline, weekly support crossing at 92.13 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 94.86 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 94.43. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 94.86. First support is today's low crossing at 93.45. Second support is weekly support crossing at 92.13.

The March Japanese Yen posted a key reversal up on Tuesday after spiking below key support marked by May's low crossing at .9710. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Additional strength on Wednesday is needed to confirm today's key reversal up. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March extends the decline off October's high, weekly support crossing at .9640 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at .9967 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at .9854. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .9967. First support is today's low crossing at .9680. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9640.

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FMC Market Summary for Tuesday August 20th

The September Dollar closed lower on Tuesday as it extends the decline off July's high. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September extends the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at 80.61 is the next downside target. Closes above last Thursday's high crossing at 81.99 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 81.99. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 82.61. First support is today's low crossing at 80.77. Second support is June's low crossing at 80.61.

The September Euro closed higher on Tuesday as it extends the rally off July's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September renews the rally off July's low, the 75% retracement level of the February-July decline crossing at 134.65 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 133.01 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the February-July decline crossing at 134.65. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the February-July decline crossing at 135.84. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 133.01. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 131.87.

The September British Pound closed higher on Tuesday as it extended the rally off July's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at 1.5743 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5425 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.5695. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 1.5743. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5425. Second resistance is the reaction low crossing at 1.5200.

The September Swiss Franc closed higher on Tuesday as it extended the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at .10962 is the next upside target. Closes below last Thursday's low crossing at .10644 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .10936. Second resistance is June's high crossing at .10962. First support is last Thursday's low crossing at .10644. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .10555.

The September Canadian Dollar closed lower on Tuesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 95.64 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off August's low, July's high crossing at 97.49 is the next upside target. First resistance is July's high crossing at 97.49. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the May-July decline crossing at 98.17. First support is the reaction low crossing at 95.64. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 95.52.

The September Japanese Yen closed higher on Tuesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .10217 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at .10669 is the next upside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at .10440. Second resistance is June's high crossing at .10669. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .10217. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .10002.

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FMC Extreme Currency Market Summary for Thursday July 18th

The September Dollar closed higher due to short covering on Thursday as it consolidates some of Tuesday's decline. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September extends this month's decline, the 62% retracement level of the June-July rally crossing at 82.27 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 83.57 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 83.57. Second resistance is July's high crossing at 84.96. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 82.47. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the June-July rally crossing at 82.27.

The September Euro closed slightly lower on Thursday as it consolidates some of Tuesday's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at 134.24 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 130.00 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 132.12. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 134.24. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 130.00. Second support is July's low crossing at 127.55.

The September British Pound closed higher on Thursday as it extended yesterday's breakout above the 20-day moving average confirming that a short term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off July's low, the reaction high crossing at 1.5298 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.5054 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.5298. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.5523. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.5054. Second support is July's low crossing at 1.4806.

The September Swiss Franc closed lower due to profit taking on Thursday but remain above the 20 day moving average crossing at .10568. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off last week's low, the reaction high crossing at .10829 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at .10497 would temper the near term friendly outlook. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at .10693. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at .10829. First support is last Thursday's gap crossing at .10446. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the May-June rally crossing at .10284.

The September Canadian Dollar closed higher on Thursday as it extends this week's trading range above the 20 day moving average. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September renews the rally off last week's low, June's high crossing at 98.46 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 95.33 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 96.69. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 98.46. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 95.33. Second support is July's low crossing at 94.09.

The September Japanese Yen closed lower on Thursday and below the reaction low crossing at .9949. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If September renews the decline off June's high, July's low crossing at .9852 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at .10184 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at .10184. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at .10318. First support is July's low crossing at .9852. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .9757.

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As mentioned last Friday just before things took a dive on the weekend, a look at the major market indices did not look promising. If we take an even longer term look and examine the monthly charts we can see that The S&P 500 as well as the Dow Jones have been approaching multi decade rising channel resistance lines. Further, they also appear to be forming bearish rising wedge patterns.

Monthly Long Term Chart Analysis & Thoughts....

As many of my longer term subscribers can attest to, I always preach that technical analysis is one part art and one part science: you can never be completely certain on what the outcome of a pattern is going to be. However, we can use historical analysis to make better investments. The great American Novelist Mark Twain probably said it best in that “history does not repeat itself, but it rhymes”. Regarding a rising wedge pattern, we know that roughly two thirds of the time they will break to the downside. This also means that one third of the time they break to the upside.

In accomplishing our goal of capital growth we must do a number of things. We must make returns on our investments, we must protect our investments, and we must limit our losses. While all three aspects work in tandem with each other, there are times when focus must be allocated to one specific approach.

Regarding the current technical setup, I’m not so focused on the 67% chance that these wedges will break to the downside, but more so the impact of each outcome on the average Joe’s portfolio and mom and pop businesses. The S&P 500 and the Dow are approaching long term resistance lines that have been in place for decades. If we do break to the downside, which I suspect we will, there could be a very significant sell off with consequences that no one can predict at this point though I mention some things in the chart above. Alternatively, there is significant overhead resistance in the various indices, and I don’t believe an upside break would be too monumental.

That being said, I always like to keep an open outlook and wait for the right opportunity. I’m trying to think of scenarios that would prelude further upside action and I really am not coming up with much. As evidenced by the completion of the recent 5 wave uptrend on the S&P that coincided nicely with the various quantitative easing policies, Ben Bernanke and the fed have had less and less impact. I truly can’t see many fiscal developments that would prompt any significant bullish action.

The only scenario I really think that could pump up equities is a series of positive earnings announcements. A lot of expectations, earnings numbers, guidance, etc… have been revised downwards over the last couple of quarters, so there is the opportunity for some positive surprises that could lead to some bullish price action. In absence of such a scenario, I really can’t think of much else that would prompt a run up.

Look at these charts of positive and negative earnings surprises… and the dates and remember what happened following this negative data....

Positive Earnings Surprise

Negative Earnings Surprise

That being said, I am recommending two courses of action. For those steadfast bulls, lock in some profits and/or buy some protection. Missing out on some of the upside is a lot better than losing some of the gains you have fought so hard for over the past couple of years. For the more aggressive traders and investors, start following my updates a little more regularly as I foresee many shorting opportunities coming up in the future. As many of you know, sell offs are often quick and abrupt, and timing is extremely important when playing the downside.

Further, trading could get very volatile in the near future. Historically, and even more so looking forward as August and September have been very costly for the average investor. Our focus will be in taking the highest probability trades that offer the best risk to reward scenarios. There will be times when we miss trades, and times when they’re not timed perfectly. But, as those who have been with me for a while can attest to, patience pays off in the long run....

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Chris Vermeulen

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