Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Currency/Forex Market Summary for Wednesday April 30th

The June U.S. Dollar posted a key reversal down on Wednesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If June renews the decline off April's high, weekly support crossing at 78.91 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 79.96 are needed to confirm that a double bottom with March's low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 79.93. Second resistance is April's high crossing at 80.77. First support is March's low crossing at 79.37. Second support is weekly support crossing at 78.91.

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The June Euro closed higher on Wednesday while extending the trading range of the past three weeks. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June renews the rally off April's low, March's high crossing at 139.66 is the next upside target. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 137.82 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 139.03. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 139.66. First support is the reaction low crossing at 137.82. Second support is April's low crossing at 136.69.

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The June British Pound closed higher on Wednesday as it extends this year's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought , diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends the rally off March's low, weekly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. Multiple closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6744 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.6895. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6744. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.6640.

The June Swiss Franc closed higher on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June renews the rally off April's low, March's high crossing at .11503 is the next upside target. If June renews the decline off April's high, April's low crossing at 1.1175 is the next downside target. First resistance is April's high crossing at .11443. Second resistance is March's high crossing at .11503. First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at .11289. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at .11160.

The June Canadian Dollar closed slightly higher on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June extends this week's rally, April's high crossing at 91.95 is the next upside target. If June renews the decline off April's high, the reaction low crossing at 89.45 is the next downside target. First resistance is April's high crossing at 91.95. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 decline crossing at 92.96. First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 90.43. Second support is April's low crossing at 88.45.

The June Japanese Yen closed higher on Wednesday. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June renews the rally off April's low, February's high crossing at .9930 is the next upside target. If June renews the decline off April's high, April's low crossing at .9598 is the next downside target. First resistance is March's high crossing at .9886. Second resistance is February's high crossing at .9930. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at .9732. Second support is April's low crossing at .9598.

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