How Can There Not Be a Currency Crisis?

By Casey Research

The Fed claims that signs of economic stress are very low, but savvy investors feel otherwise. With geopolitical unrest expanding and central banks doing the opposite of the right things, is a currency crisis barreling toward us? See what Mish Shedlock had to say about the state of world finance at the 2014 Casey Research Summit:

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The article How Can There Not Be a Currency Crisis? was originally published at casey research

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Currency Market Summary for Monday October 13th

The December Dollar closed lower on Monday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.43 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off May's low, weekly resistance crossing at 87.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is October's high crossing at 86.87. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 87.00. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.43. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 84.00.

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The December Euro closed higher on Monday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this summer's decline, monthly support crossing at 124.56 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 127.40 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 127.40. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 130.06. First support is October's low crossing at 125.06. Second support is weekly support crossing at 124.56.

The December British Pound closed higher on Monday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December resumes the decline off July's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.5732 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6200. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.6515. First support is October's low crossing at 1.5941. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.5732.

The December Swiss Franc closed higher on Monday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0541 would confirm that a low has been posted. If December extends the decline off July's high, monthly support crossing at 1.0166 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0541. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.0761. First support is October's low crossing at 1.0333. Second support is monthly support crossing at 1.0166.

The December Canadian Dollar closed higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the March low crossing at 88.31 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 89.83 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 89.93. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 91.67. First support is October's low crossing at 88.57. Second support is March's low crossing at 88.31.

The December Japanese Yen gapped up and closed higher on Monday as it extended this month's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remains neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends this month's rally, the 38% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at .9415 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .9213 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .9344. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at .9415. First support is October's low crossing at .9088. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9013.

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