Monday, June 2, 2014

Currency Market Summary for Monday Morning June 2nd

The June U.S. Dollar was higher overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.06 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If June extends the rally off May's low, April's high crossing at 80.77 is the next upside target. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 80.63. Second resistance is April's high crossing at 80.77. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.06. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 79.93.

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The June Euro was lower overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 137.16 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If June extends the decline off May's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 135.45 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 136.43. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 137.16. First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 136.08. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 135.45.

The June British Pound was lower overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6830 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. If June extends the decline off May's high, the reaction low crossing at 1.6640 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6830. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.6919. First support is the reaction low crossing at 1.6640. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.6545.

The June Swiss Franc was lower overnight and is poised to extend the decline off May's high. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.1240 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If June extends the aforementioned decline, the 75% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at 1.1160 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.1170. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.1240. First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 1.1124. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at 1.1086.

The June Canadian Dollar was slightly lower overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June renews the rally off March's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 decline crossing at 92.96 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 91.85 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 92.40. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 decline crossing at 92.96. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 91.85. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 90.35.

The June Japanese Yen was lower overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. From a broad perspective, June needs to close above .9930 or below .9598 to confirm a breakout of a four month old trading range. First resistance is May's high crossing at .9920. Second resistance is February's high crossing at .9930. First support is the reaction low crossing at .9771. Second support is May's low crossing at .9687.

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