Currency Market Summary for Week Ending February 28th

The March Dollar closed sharply lower on Friday as it renewed February's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but turning neutral to bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near term. If March extends the decline off February's high, December's low crossing at 79.50 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.49 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 80.49. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 80.91. First support is today's low crossing at 79.70. Second support is December's low crossing at 79.50.

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The March Euro closed higher on Friday as it renews the rally off February's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends the rally off February's low, December's high crossing at 138.93 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.59 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 138.26. Second resistance is December's high crossing at 138.93. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 136.59. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 135.62.

The March British Pound closed higher on Friday as it extends the trading range of the past two weeks. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March resumes the rally off February's low, monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6550 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 1.6821. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 1.7043. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6550. Second support is February's low crossing at 1.6247.

The March Swiss Franc closed higher on Friday and posted a new contract high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends the rally off January's low, weekly resistance crossing at .11615 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .11187 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at .11398. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at .11615. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at .11187. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .11067.

The March Canadian Dollar closed higher on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near. Multiple closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 90.34 are needed to temper the near term bearish outlook. If March renews the decline off last week's high, February's low crossing at 88.99 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 91.60. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the September-January decline crossing at 92.32 . First support is last Friday's low crossing at 89.27. Second support is this month's low crossing at 88.99.

The March Japanese Yen closed higher on Friday as it extends the trading range of the past three weeks. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March renews the rally off January's low, the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026 is the next upside target. If March renews the decline off February's high, the reaction low crossing at .9672 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .9920. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-January decline crossing at .10026. First support is last Friday's low crossing at .9725. Second support is the reaction low crossing at .9672.

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