Saturday, September 6, 2014

Currency Market Summary for week ending Sept. 5th

The December Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of the rally off May's low. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off May's low, weekly resistance crossing at 84.96 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.41 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 84.08. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 84.96. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 82.99. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.41.

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The December Euro closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidated some of Thursday's decline. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this summer's decline, the July 2013 low crossing at 128.50 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 132.48 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 131.37. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 132.48. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 129.32. Second support is the July 2013 low crossing at 128.50.

The December British Pound closed lower on Friday as it extends the decline off July's high. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6007 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6583 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.6486. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6583. First support is today's low crossing at 1.6273. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6007.

The December Swiss Franc closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidated some of the decline off March's high. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0653 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0958 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.0887. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0958. First support is today's low crossing at 1.0724. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0653.

The December Canadian Dollar closed slightly lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near term. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing at 90.70 would confirm that a top has been posted. If December renews the rally off last Tuesday's low, the reaction high crossing at 93.04 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 92.26. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 93.04. First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 90.70. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the March-July rally crossing at 89.67.

The December Japanese Yen closed higher due to short covering on Friday after spiking below weekly support crossing at .9486. Today's mid range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off June's high, weekly support crossing at .9013 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at .9668 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at .9587. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .9668. First support is today's low crossing at .9469. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9013.

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