Wednesday, September 3, 2014

Mid Week Currency Market Summary for Wednesday September 3rd

The December Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the rally off May's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off May's low, weekly resistance crossing at 83.66 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 82.19 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 83.19. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 83.66. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 82.68. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.19.

The December Euro closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this summer's decline, the 87% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 129.96 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 132.90 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 132.02. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 132.90. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 131.19. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 129.96.

The December British Pound closed lower on Wednesday confirming yesterday's key reversal down. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6281 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6633 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 1.6629. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6633. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 1.6426. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.6281.

The December Swiss Franc closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off July's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0802 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0986 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0986. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.1090. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1.0869. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2013-2014 rally crossing at 1.0802.

The December Canadian Dollar closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing at 90.70 would confirm that a top has been posted. If December renews the rally off last Tuesday's low, the reaction high crossing at 93.04 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 92.26. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 93.04. First support is last Tuesday'slow crossing at 90.70. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the March-July rally crossing at 89.67.

The December Japanese Yen closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the decline off July's high. Today's high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off June's high, weekly support crossing at .9486 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at .9697 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at .9731. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .9697. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at .9500. Second support is weekly support crossing at .9486. 

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