Sunday, January 18, 2015

Currency Market Summary and Recap for Week Ending January 16th - Dollar, Franc, Euro, Pound, Yen


The March U.S. Dollar closed higher on Friday as it extends this winter's rally. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 91.29 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off October's low, weekly resistance crossing at 94.32 is the next upside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at 93.56. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 94.32. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 92.28. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 91.29.

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The March Euro closed lower on Friday as it extends this winter's decline. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March extends this winter's decline, monthly support crossing at 112.75 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 119.87 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 117.96. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 119.75. First support is today's low crossing at 114.67. Second support is weekly support crossing at 112.75.

The March British Pound closed lower on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near term. If March extends the decline off July's high, monthly support crossing at 1.4806 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5351 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at 1.5261. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.5351. First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 1.5027. Second support is monthly support crossing at 1.4806.

The March Swiss Franc closed higher on Friday as it extended Thursday's huge rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If March extends this week's rally, monthly resistance crossing at 1.2503 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.0172 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at 1.1862. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 1.2503. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 0.9777. Second support is monthly support crossing at 0.9421.

The March Canadian Dollar closed slightly higher on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If March extends this winter's decline, monthly support crossing at 80.30 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 84.90 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 84.90. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 86.33. First support is today's low crossing at 82.90. Second support is monthly support crossing at 80.30.

The March Japanese Yen closed lower on Friday marking a downside reversal. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at .8398 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March extends this week's rally, December's high crossing at .8663 is the next upside target. First resistance is December's high crossing at .8663. Second resistance is the 25% retracement level of the 2013-2014 decline crossing at .8773. First support the reaction low crossing at .8282. Second support is December's low crossing at .8219.

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